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The Maple Markets

Macro desk

Maple Macro

The Canadian macro picture in one place: the Bank of Canada policy rate, the Government of Canada yield curve, CPI, the Canadian dollar and the commodities that move Canadian earnings.

Policy interest rate

2.25%

Bank of Canada · Sep 17, 2026

Total CPI, year over year

3.0%

Statistics Canada via BoC · Aug 1, 2026

Real policy rate

-0.75%

Policy rate less total CPI

CAD in US dollars

0.7142

Daily average · Sep 18, 2026

Core measures

The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of underlying inflation. It watches these, not the headline number, when it sets the policy rate.

CPI-trim, year over year

1.9%

Aug 1, 2026

CPI-median, year over year

2.0%

Aug 1, 2026

CPI-common, year over year

2.6%

Aug 1, 2026

Government of Canada yield curve

10 year less 2 year: +0.56% · Sep 17, 2026

2 year

3.27%

3 year

3.36%

5 year

3.54%

7 year

3.63%

10 year

3.83%

Long (30 year)

4.17%

The curve is upward sloping: longer bonds yield more than shorter ones, the normal shape outside of tightening cycles.

Commodities that move Canadian earnings

CommodityPriceChangeUnit
Gold4424.90+0.57%USD / oz
Silver67.15+1.59%USD / oz
Copper6.69+0.45%USD / lb
WTI crude96.08−5.72%USD / bbl
Natural gas (Henry Hub)2.91+0.38%USD / MMBtu

Sources: Bank of Canada Valet · Delayed commodity feed.

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