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Economy

Bank of Canada policy, inflation, employment and the Canadian dollar.

Economy — latest

OpinionEconomy

A Canadian Company Can Watch Its Shares Fall All Week and Owe the Market Nothing at All

Canadian issuers must announce a material change immediately and file the report within 10 days. They are not required to publish every material fact, and they are not required to explain a share price. That single distinction explains most of the weeks when a Canadian small cap moves and SEDAR+ stays empty. Here is what the rules actually oblige, what the exchanges do when the price moves first, which filings arrive from someone other than the company, and the calendar that governs a quiet month.

Par Élise Galarneau7 min de lecture

OpinionEconomy

Four Canadian-Listed Companies Announced Government Money This Week, and None of It Was Cash

Between September 15 and September 18, 2026, Conifex Timber, Global Atomic, First Phosphate and Bitterroot Resources each announced that a government had put money behind them: up to C$30 million, US$414.2 million, US$212.5 million and up to US$5.22 million. Four announcements, four instruments, and not one of them is a transfer of cash. Here is what a loan agreement, a conditional approval, an export-credit letter of support and a cost-share award each oblige, and what has to be true before the money arrives.

Par Marc Belzile9 min de lecture

OpinionEconomy

Four of the Worst Falls on the Toronto Exchange This Week Were Funds, and Three Held One Stock

On September 9, 2026 four of the ten largest declines on the Toronto exchange were exchange-traded funds. Three of them hold nothing but Shopify, and they fell 27.83, 14.97 and 14.90 per cent respectively on the same day, against the same company. A fourth, a target-maturity bond fund, had printed a 38.59 per cent gain five sessions earlier on 2,000 units and gave all of it back. Here is what each of those numbers was actually measuring, and where the manager publishes the figure that is not a quote.

Par Marc Belzile7 min de lectureRUQO.TOSHPE.TO

OpinionEconomy

Why a Canadian Explorer Can Sell New Shares Above Its Own Market Price, and Who Pays for That

Junior exploration was the busiest corner of the Canadian market this week, and almost none of it is paid for out of revenue. It is paid for by placements, and those placements are priced two different ways at once: flow-through shares above the market, ordinary units below it. The difference is a tax deduction the Canada Revenue Agency lets an exploration company hand to the buyer. Here is what that deduction is worth in dollars, why the calendar pushes the cheques into the autumn, and what each kind of financing does to the share count.

Par Élise Galarneau8 min de lecture

OpinionEconomy

The Loonie Has Two Engines: Why a 1.4-Point Rate Gap Is Only Half of the Canadian Dollar Story

The Bank of Canada's policy rate sat about 1.4 percentage points below the US effective federal funds rate in early September 2026, metals prices rose 4.2 per cent into August, and the loonie ended the week close to where it began. That stops being a puzzle once the currency is read as the net of two forces, the rate gap and the terms of trade. Here is how each one works, what the Bank's commodity index says about August, and what a five per cent move in the loonie does to a US$10,000 position.

Par Hannah Kuan8 min de lecture

Economyproductivity

GDP Growth Is Not Productivity Growth

Real GDP by expenditure grew 0.8% in the second quarter of 2026. That says nothing about whether output per hour worked improved — and for long-horizon investors, the second question is the important one.

Par Priya Sandhu2 min de lecture

Economytrade

CUSMA Has Become a Valuation Variable

A functioning free-trade agreement and significant sectoral tariffs can coexist. Two Canadian companies with identical U.S. revenue can carry entirely different trade risk.

Par Priya Sandhu2 min de lecture

OpinionEconomyExplainer

The Case Against Chasing Dividend Yield in Canada

A simple high-yield screen on the TSX tends to surface companies the market already doubts, not hidden value. This piece explains why yield alone is a poor screen, which metrics — payout ratio against free cash flow, dividend growth history, debt profile — actually matter, and where high yields are structurally legitimate.

Par Élise Galarneau3 min de lecture

EconomyTrade

Canada's Trade Balance and the Concentration Problem

Canada's exports remain unusually concentrated in a single destination market, a structural feature that two decades of diversification efforts have barely moved. This piece explains why that concentration is a direct earnings risk for TSX-listed exporters, not just a macro footnote.

Par Élise Galarneau3 min de lecture

EconomyMonetary policy

Bank of Canada Holds at 2.75% and Signals a Longer Pause

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.75 per cent for a third straight meeting and dropped language markets had read as an easing bias, a more hawkish signal than the unchanged rate suggests. Bond yields, the loonie and rate-sensitive equity sectors all moved on the guidance shift rather than the rate itself.

Par Élise Galarneau4 min de lecture

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