
The Loonie Has Two Engines: Why a 1.4-Point Rate Gap Is Only Half of the Canadian Dollar Story
The Bank of Canada's policy rate sat about 1.4 percentage points below the US effective federal funds rate in early September 2026, metals prices rose 4.2 per cent into August, and the loonie ended the week close to where it began. That stops being a puzzle once the currency is read as the net of two forces, the rate gap and the terms of trade. Here is how each one works, what the Bank's commodity index says about August, and what a five per cent move in the loonie does to a US$10,000 position.
By Hannah Kuan8 min read







































